[Key Points] Why a Trump-Kim summit looks harder this time

Summit odds dim: Prospects for a Trump-Kim meeting are fading as North Korea’s stronger nuclear arsenal, closer Russia ties and rejection of denuclearization reduce its incentive to compromise.

Balance has shifted: Unlike in 2018, Pyongyang now has a more mature nuclear force and multiple delivery systems, leaving Washington with fewer military or diplomatic pressure points.

Trump seeks win: Analysts say Trump may view renewed North Korea diplomacy as a potential foreign policy breakthrough ahea