As tensions rise over the Strait of Hormuz, Donald Trump is threatening further escalation, including potential strikes on Iran’s energy infrastructure.
Charles Kupchan, senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, says the US strategy appears focused on increasing pressure to force Iran into negotiations.
However, he warns that reopening the vital shipping route without a deal would be extremely difficult due to Iran’s military capabilities in the region.
With rising global oil prices affecting the United States and beyond, the conflict is also becoming a political challenge ahead of upcoming elections.
Kupchan outlines possible outcomes—from escalation and diplomacy to a “frozen conflict” scenario—while raising concerns about the growing risks to international law and civilian infrastructure.
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