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Seyed Hossein Mousavian: Could the Islamabad talks end 48 years of hostility between the US and Iran?
After 40 days of intense military confrontation between https://www.middleeasteye.net/countries/iran" target="_blank">Iran on one side and https://www.middleeasteye.net/countries/us" target="_blank">the United States and https://www.middleeasteye.net/countries/israel" target="_blank">Israel on the other, the sudden announcement of https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/full-text-iran-national-security-council-statement-ceasefire" target="_blank">a two-week ceasefire has raised a central question: what compelled the parties to pause the war at this stage?
The ceasefire did not emerge from a single development, but from a combination of military, strategic, political, and economic realities that reshaped the calculations of the actors involved.
At the same time, the truce remains https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/ceasefire-not-holding-us-and-iran-may-have-talk-as-guns-firing" target="_blank">fragile, and its future will depend on several critical factors.
According to emerging reports, high-level negotiations could https://globalnews.ca/news/11769920/jd-vance-us-delegation-iran-peace-talks-pakistan/" target="_blank">take place in Islamabad on Saturday, reportedly involving the speaker of Iranian parliament, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and US Vice President JD Vance.
If confirmed, such a meeting would represent the highest-level direct political engagements between the two sides after 48 years, and could help test whether the ceasefire will open the path to serious negotiations or merely serve as a temporary pause in hostilities.
Several major developments help explain why the ceasefire became possible.