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Iran war escalation could trigger global recession, IMF warns
The Guardian —
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IMF cuts 2026 global growth forecast on Iran war
Middle East Eye —
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UK economic growth forecasts slashed as IMF says Iran war risks global recession
The Standard —
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Humiliation for Reeves as IMF slashes UK growth forecasts with biggest downgrade in G7 - and warns global recession is a 'close call'
Daily Mail —
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UK hit with IMF growth downgrade as war fuels inflation
RTE —
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IMF says Iran war "halted" global economic momentum, expects hotter inflation
Axios —
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UK warned cost of living will rise worse-than-feared in next two years due to Iran war
Mirror —
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IMF Cut Global Growth to 3.1%, Flags Downturn Risk If War Lasts
Bloomberg —
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IMF Lowers Global Growth Target to 3.1%, Citing Economic Shock From Iran War
Barrons —
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IMF cuts UK’s growth forecast by more than any other G7 nation
Financial Times —
IMF slashes global growth forecast
In its latest World Economic Outlook, the International Monetary Fund reduced its 2026 global growth projection to 3.1%, citing the severe impact of the Middle East conflict.
The report highlights an 'unprecedented' energy crisis that could plunge expansion to just 2% if infrastructure damage persists into next year.
The United Kingdom suffered the most dramatic downgrade of any major economy, reflecting its high exposure to inflationary pressures and volatile energy markets.
Analysts warn that the combination of stagnant growth and rising costs has placed the world economy on a precarious path toward stagflation.
International Monetary Fund
International financial institution
International financial institution
Iran
Country in Western Asia
Country in Western Asia
United Kingdom
Island country in north-west Europe
Island country in north-west Europe
Rachel Reeves
British politician and current Chancellor of the Exchequer (born 1979)
British politician and current Chancellor of the Exchequer (born 1979)
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas
French economist
French economist